PAS is expected to survive the Sungai Limau by-election with a win, though with a slimmer majority, according to a study done by research firm Ilham Centre.
The study, which collected samples from some 600 voters in the constituency’s 19 voting districts from Oct 28 to Nov 1, predicted a negligible change in voting patterns.
In their latest survey on who voters would pick, PAS led by 48 percent and 42 percent for Barisan Nasional. The remaining 10 percent were still undecided.
According to Ilham Centre executive chairman Mohammed Hisommudin Bakar Muhammad (pic), PAS’ strong voter support among the voters in the area is the main factor for the expected win.
“Study on the voting patterns do not show a major cross-over for both parties. This scenario would strengthen our conclusion that Malay voters are comfortable in retaining status quo in their party of choice,” said Mohammed Hisommuddin.
He said Chinese voters, consisting only 6.7 percent of the total voters, were seen to be more wary in their voting pattern this time.
“Chinese votes are said to be close to the rational choice model which considers the profit and loss, and the impact to their community.”
